Weather

It's the first day of spring 2023! Here is what to expect this season

The NOAA weighs in on the parts of the U.S. it expects to be warmer and which could be wetter than average this spring.

A man with an umbrella stands in the rain at a baseball stadium.
Matt York / AP
SMS

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released its seasonal outlook for spring. The outlook, published Thursday, gives an idea of what to expect across the country for the coming three months. 

The report indicated that the Gulf Coast and most of the Eastern U.S. is more likely than not to have a warm spring, while some parts of the Rockies and Upper Plains are leaning toward having a cooler-than-average spring. 

The outlook predicts that drought concerns to be replaced by concerns over flooding in much of California. Flooding chances will also go up in the Mississippi River valley as NOAA expects above-average rainfall for much of the Great Lakes. 

"Approximately 44% of the U.S. is at risk for flooding this spring,” said Ed Clark, director of NOAA’s National Water Center. “California’s historic snowpack, coupled with spring rain, is heightening the potential for spring floods.”

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Meanwhile, drought conditions are expected to continue or worsen for some areas of the Southwest, including New Mexico and Texas. 

"Climate change is driving both wet and dry extremes, as illustrated by NOAA’s observations and data that inform this seasonal outlook,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad.

NOAA said the replenishing rains and snowmelt in the Western U.S. will be welcoming as many reservoirs have been at record lows.

NOAA’s full outlook is available on its website.