Finance

Morgan Stanley warning: S&P 500 could drop 26% in a matter of months

Bloomberg reported that a strategist predicted the index would drop as much as 26% at some point in the coming weeks and months.

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange in New York
Seth Wenig / AP
SMS

Morgan Stanley released a forecast on its expectations for one of the most popular indexes in the U.S., calling its stocks' risk-reward "extremely poor," according to reports.

Bloomberg reported that a strategist predicted the index would drop as much as 26% at some point in the coming weeks and months.

According to the report, signs of the possible drop have been seen in high-cost U.S. equities.

As the U.S. Federal Reserve remains aggressive in its method for fighting inflation, analysts and investors still don't know if the country will be able to avoid a recession, or how deep of an economic dip it will find itself in.

Stocks have been at their most expensive since 2007, based on a measure of equity risk premium, and that is echoed by analysts on Wall Street who say a recovery in the stock market appears to have gone too far.

Morgan Stanley reported that the S&P 500 index saw a decline of 2% on Tuesday, but was up 4.1% year-to-date.

Michael Mauboussin, a head analyst with Morgan Stanley, said that companies around the globe have "shifted" their investments from tangible to intangible assets like intellectual property. 

Mauboussin believes this is part of why the S&P 500 may have earnings that are "understated."

Change to FHA-insured mortgages will save homebuyers $800 a year
Change to FHA-insured mortgages will save homebuyers $800 a year

Change to FHA-insured mortgages will save homebuyers $800 a year

With the average FHA loan going for just under $270,000, the typical homebuyer will save $24,000 throughout a 30-year loan.

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